Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.876928 3.382342 3.972086 4.716519 5.638841 6.754129 8.220206
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.204888 2.854128 3.708991 4.941120 6.712600 9.233951 13.220922
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.797864 2.466307 3.414337 4.901709 7.263380 11.030875 17.862650
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.554855 2.232932 3.253552 4.970577 7.936619 13.168002 23.931061
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.368827 2.040603 3.102586 4.997621 8.519223 15.314438 31.044817
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.258915 1.943149 3.075904 5.214816 9.485622 18.512291 42.182990
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.119207 1.773542 2.895623 5.109526 9.789406 20.443790 51.503109
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.019511 1.656123 2.784958 5.108601 10.303610 23.050621 64.562429
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.926215 1.536791 2.651087 5.031202 10.624020 25.314470 78.425779
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.869106 1.474686 2.614241 5.147316 11.433626 29.259213 102.073262
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.796252 1.374441 2.488450 5.043001 11.663247 31.639147 122.086722
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.771958 1.363019 2.538124 5.347988 13.074648 38.512455 172.438317
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.719813 1.300227 2.491442 5.465160 14.167281 45.648357 242.541578
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.680609 1.260412 2.492809 5.721305 15.866383 56.902198 375.997127
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.625645 1.180061 2.389522 5.675001 16.579834 64.778241 515.726148
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.585801 1.126187 2.337560 5.757343 17.799581 76.555216 761.901256
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.547736 1.071156 2.273635 5.789717 18.871552 89.057317 1117.326983
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.525548 1.048273 2.283940 6.049937 21.020844 111.430970 1916.942830
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.487015 0.983732 2.179620 5.923733 21.473480 123.282088 2683.590027
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.458151 0.938286 2.117787 5.922625 22.524550 141.914869 4156.034093
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.428378 0.887492 2.034604 5.829920 23.109489 158.146044 6170.959701
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.410399 0.862886 2.018312 5.969017 24.994165 191.509727 11539.641582
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.384411 0.816153 1.934617 5.844048 25.401954 210.732053 17844.643624